NFL Snap share data fantasy football managers need to know before the first round of the playoffs

Snap share stock report time! This is where I examine snap share data from every single team and highlight some players who may have seen a notable spike or dip in playing time and/or usage.

Troy Franklin: MASSIVE STOCK DOWN

  • Unless there’s a mysterious, unknown injury that we’re not privy to, it appears Franklin is quietly being benched. His 25.7% snap share was a season low and a stark contrast to when he played a season high 50 total snaps just four weeks ago.

  • In fact, he’s been trending down in snap share since that Week 9 high mark, going from a 79.4% snap share to 73.8% to 66.1% to 52.9% before bottoming out last week with a 25.7% snap share.

  • His 15 routes run was fewer than the 18 run by blocking tight end, Adam Trautman.

  • I wish I could tell you that the rookie Pat Bryant was the primary beneficiary but that is far from the case. Bryant played just 49% of the snaps in Week 14, a big downturn from his 70% snap share the week prior.

  • So who is eating into both of their play time you ask?????

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Lil’Jordan Humphrey: STOCK UP

  • After floating between Denver’s active roster and practice squad last year (remember he played under Sean Payton in New Orleans as well), Humphrey signed with the Giants where he also floated between call-ups before the team cut him in November.

  • Denver picked him up and activated him Week 11, when he played a small 14.5% of the snaps. That seemed innocuous enough, but then in Week 13 his role saw a small tick up (20%) before he played a very chunky 38% of the snaps in Week 14.

  • His nine routes run isn’t nearly enough to justify an add off the free agent pool but it’s just enough to block EVERY receiver not named Courtland Sutton from fantasy relevance.

Jack Bech: STOCK UP

  • I’ve been extolling the virtues of Bech for WEEKS now and it finally started to blossom last week.

  • Bech played a season high 81% of the snaps last week and as a result posted season highs in targets, receptions and yards (6/6/50).

  • He’s worth an add but not worth a start this week, going up against Philly’s Quinyon Mitchell.

Isaac TeSlaa: STOCK UP

  • With Amon-Ra St. Brown banged up, it seemed like the entire fantasy industry was in on the explosive rookie. Then, with ARSB suddenly and unexpectedly back in the lineup, most everyone sent TeSlaa back to their benches. But we all, me included, downplayed the absence of Kalif Raymond. With Raymond out TeSlaa recorded a 77% snap share, his highest snap percentage all year long (barring what he did the week prior when Amon-Ra got hurt).

  • TeSlaa ran the third-highest number of routes on the Lions and did what he does: score a touchdown; a 3/2/20/TD slash line is soooo him.

  • Let’s see if Dan Campbell saw enough in that game where TeSlaa can supplant Raymond moving forward, and why not, considering that’s likely where the team is heading anyway. If Campbell does, wheels up on the rookie.

Adam Thielen: STOCK … UP?

  • He only had one target with one catch and four yards (still better than DJ Moore’s Week 15 output, sadly), but the former Viking/Panther/Viking played a good amount. His 47% snap share was somehow the second-highest among Pittsburgh wide receivers.

  • He played 65% of his snaps out wide and 35% in the slot, indicating Thielen will likely be used in both two- and three-receiver sets.

  • And on top of that, of his 24 total snaps played, he only ran 10 routes, indicating his already strong role in the run game.  Given these clues, it’s fair to assume his role in the pass game will only expand in the weeks to come.

Quinshon Judkins: STOCK DOWN

  • The rookie played just 45% of the snaps, one of his lowest non-injury snap shares all season. Now, the team did put Jerome Ford on IR, potentially balancing out his snap share, but it’s not a good sign that fantasy managers are relying on an injury to open up snaps for Judkins.

  • It’s possible Judkins has hit a rookie wall. Over his first six games, he averaged 4.3 ypc, 77.8 rush yards and scored five times. Over his last six games, his numbers have fallen across the board: averaging 3.2 ypc, 52.8 rush yards and only scoring twice in that span, with both scores coming in the same game against the lowly Raiders.

Jaylen Wright: STOCK UP

  • Once De’Von Achane hurt his ribs and exited the game, it was Wright — and not Ollie Gordon II — who took over. Wright (50.8%) also doubled up Gordon’s snap percentage (25.4%).

  • Mike McDaniel post-game said Achane avoided major injury and was available to come back in if he was needed. *Narrator voice* He was not needed. The Dolphins jumped out to a 21-0 first-half lead and led 24-7 through much of the third before ultimately winning in a blowout, 34-10.

  • Because of game script, it’s absolutely fair to wonder if there are any real takeaways in terms of backfield split. That being said, I don’t mind gambling on a guy in Wright who is an athletic freak: 210 pounds, 4.38 40 time, 38-inch vertical.

Bhayshul Tuten: STOCK DOWN

  • The rookie took two snaps, had two carries for five yards, fumbled the rock and was sent to the Upside Down, never to be seen again (3.2% snap share). As a result, Travis Etienne Jr. played a season-high 72% of the snaps.

  • ETN has slowed down over his last six games (3.9 ypc) but on the season, he’s averaging 4.6 ypc versus Tuten’s 3.6 ypc.

Blake Corum: STOCK NEUTRAL

  • I know, I know, I know; how can a guy who just broke out with a 128-yard, 2TD day not see his stock go up??? From a strict snap share perspective, Corum has seen almost no movement in play time, hovering just north of 30% snap share pretty much all year long.

  • I really like Corum as a prospect and the team seems determined to give him goal-line carries but I’m going to be bold and tell you to not chase the points. He’s been HYPER efficient on limited touches against TB, CAR and ARI; three extremely soft run defenses. He’s got Detroit this week, a top 10 defense versus the run, and Seattle next week, a team that allows a league-best 3.55 ypc to opposing backs.

OTHER SNAP SHARE NOTES:

Mitchell Tinsley: With Tee Higgins working through the concussion protocol, watch for Tinsley to potentially have a large role in this week’s game against the Ravens. Higgins missed the Baltimore game from a few weeks ago with a concussion as well, a game where Tinsley only played 66% of the snaps but still collected nine targets.

Harold Fannin Jr.: David Njoku injured his knee and never returned to the game. Remember, he was dealing with a knee injury earlier in the year as well. His Week 15 availability is very much in doubt. Fannin as a result played a whopping 92% of the snaps. Not that you weren’t already going to, but he’s a must-start this week versus Chicago.

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Jerry Jeudy: He’s the only receiver you can trust in CLE. The team has decided to work in Isaiah Bond, Gage Larvadain and Malachi Corley more and, while Cedric Tillman has seen his snap percentage impacted, Jeudy has played more than 80% of the snaps in three of his last four games. He enjoyed a 88% snap share this past week.

John Bates: Zach Ertz unfortunately tore his ACL and his loss is massive for the Commanders, as he actually led the team in routes run. With Terry McLaurin missing so much of the season, Ertz was second on the team in targets, receptions and yards. Bates is most likely the next man up, although Ben Sinnott could also see a bump up in play time, too. Neither is an add at this moment, but just keep an eye on it.

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