NFL.com analytics model believes Commanders are NFC’s No. 2 team

NFL.com analytics model believes Commanders are NFC’s No. 2 team

What will the Washington Commanders do for an encore in 2025? According to NFL.com analytics expert Cynthia Frelund, the Commanders are in store for another big season.

Washington shocked everyone in 2024, going from four wins the year before to 12-5 last season. It was the Commanders’ best season in 33 years, ending with an appearance and loss in the NFC championship game.

To say Washington arrived a year or two early under GM Adam Peters, head coach Dan Quinn and quarterback Jayden Daniels would be an understatement. So, it would be normal if the Commanders took a step back in 2025.

Frelund’s analytics model projects Washington to win 10.2 games next season. The Commanders are behind only one team in the NFC: the Eagles.

Through Week 7, the Commanders are forecasted to be atop the NFC East. At that point, they will reach what could be a major turning point for their season: a Monday Night Football game in Kansas City in Week 8, followed by back-to-back home contests against the Seahawks and Lions. Washington can secure its best chance of outlasting the Eagles in the division by winning at least two of those three games. In other words, the Commanders can really set themselves up well ahead of their Week 11 game against Miami in Madrid, Spain. 

This is not surprising considering that Washington finished second in the NFC last season. Philadelphia is currently a juggernaut and will not be going away anytime soon. The Commanders’ offseason moves were made to continue building around star quarterback Jayden Daniels with the Eagles in mind.

Frelund’s analytics model factors everything, including cross-country trips, games against elite quarterbacks and more.

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